A successful event makes people believe that the steps leading up to the event must be equally successful
As much as you believe you know your past, most stories you’ve heard only talk about the event and neglect the preceding steps.
Validation comes from belief most of the time. Even though there’s little to no evidence, humans tend to validate what they believe because of influence, pressure, and blind faith. When you’re confident about something, it doesn’t mean that of validation keeps us biased in judgment-making.
Structured impressions that have a well-planned formula are better than intuition and assumptions. When you have a roadmap that buttresses your images, always take it over your intuition. Instincts give you biased judgments, while formulas give you a guideline for approaching a task.
It is okay to trust your basic intuition in typical situations and conditions. However, when you change the environment, you should become more careful and rely on facts. Change of environment means you have to learn new things, and since your intuition is primarily based on stored information, it won’t be advisable to rely on it.
Even though we plan, initiate, and execute projects based on facts and stories available from the best-case scenario, it is not the only one worth studying.
⚡️Carefully evaluate many conditions to plan successfully.
Optimism as a defense mechanism against doubt is an art form. Having disregard for doubt breeds confidence as well as overconfidence. The best thing to do is to moderate your optimism by employing the premortem tactic. The premortem tactic allows you to assume that a project has failed. By pretending it did, your brain works continuously to discover why it happened. In doing so, you can explore probable faults and loopholes that you can fix.